Lesson #1 - Sunni vs. Shia
There is a deep fissure in Islam: the
mutual hatred of these 2 groups is greater than their contempt for
The Great Satan (US) or even Israel. That is why Iran (Shia) tried to
assassinate the Saudi ambassador (Sunni) rather than the American or
Israeli ones. The conflict lies in who inherits the religious
authority from Mohammed: his religious council (Sunni) or his family
and descendants (Shia). The vast majority of Muslims worldwide are
Sunni, making Shia a powerful yet small minority. Yes, this is a
terrible oversimplification, but it will do for a start. Unless you
understand this dichotomy, you will never understand the current
complexities in Syria.
Lesson #2 – Hamas and Hezbollah
Hezbollah, who is Syria's powerful
proxy in Lebanon and largely controls the latter on behalf of the
former, is Shia. Hamas, who controls the Gaza Strip and constantly
shoots rockets into Israel from there, is Sunni.
Lesson #3 – Syria: Sunni or Shia?
This is a
rather complicated question, and the source of most of Syria's civil
war unrest. Bashar
al-Assad, Syria's current dictator, is from a small and obscure sect:
Alawite, which is nominally Shia; sadly, the country is mostly Sunni.
He is frequently accused of suppressing and murdering his Sunni
opponents, especially in the current civil war. Then there is the
issue of a suicide bombing of a Shia splinter group that opposes
Assad (perpetrated by Assad loyalists, no less), not to mention
complaints that Iran (Shia) is supporting a group (Alawites) that is
suppressing other Shia groups. There are also Kurds, Druze, and
Christians to consider in this complicated soup.
Lesson #4 – Turkey, Iraq, Jordan
These are Syria's neighbors. Refugees
are massing on Turkey's border, and she is not happy about the whole
situation. Turkey, nominally Sunni but mostly secular, is supporting
Syrian Sunni rebels; with the Russian-assisted shoot down of one of
its military jets by Syria, she could intervene on the rebel side in
a conventional war. When it comes to Iraq, there has been some recent
criticisms that both W and Barack fumbled the ball: there were
significant US military assets on the ground in Iraq; a half-hour's
Humvee drive into Syria by a battalion or so could easily have
toppled the Assad regime. As to Jordan, I must admit to having a
brain fart.
Final Exam – Russia and Iran
Both of these Assad allies are
shoveling rockets, gold bullion coins, seasoned insurgents, small
arms, big arms, military sophistication, attack helicopters, naval
battle groups, and burqas into Syria as fast as their fat little arms
will go. Although the UN has declared the uprising as a legally
protected civil war, Russia has vetoed Security Council resolutions
to support the rebels via sanctions against an evil, oppressive
dictatorship.
Question: why?
Cheat Sheet: Russia is desperate to
keep the sympathetic Assad regime in place in order to protect its
rights for its Black Sea Fleet (BSF) at the warm water Syrian port of
Tartus, a convenient massing point to counter the US Sixth Fleet,
which sticks in the old-Soviet craw.
For Iran, Syria is merely a convenient
munitions dump in its eternal struggle against the evil Jew.
What Makes You Such an Expert?
Well, nothing, actually. I am neither
Druze, Coptic, Christian, Jewish, or even Muslim. As a Buddhist, I do
not have a horse in this race (or so goes that old saying goes). My
only criticism in all this morass is the needless taking of human
life.
Have a nice day.
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