I wish to disabuse you of the notion that Egypt's problems are
anything but simple or easy. I shall add yet another discordant voice
to the cacophony.
Factoid #1 – It's Not Him, It's Us
Do not forget the original, and still valid, reason the anti-Mursi
protests began in first place: the economy. Under Mubarak, there was
a yawning gulf between the haves and the have-nots. Egyptians voted
for the Muslim Brotherhood, cuz they figured any change would help
their pocketbooks. Not. MB were totally uninterested in financial
stuff. They could care less if the IMF cuts financial aid.
Factoid #2 – The Military Has Strangled Democracy
Not even close. Just cuz there was a vote, does not mean there is
democracy. MB, once in power, consolidated power with breathtaking
speed. Freedom, liberty, and representative government was not on the
menu, but autocracy was. They were trying to construct an old-time
tin-horn dictatorship a la sharia. The military is trying to
reconstitute a more or less secular country.
Factoid #3 – They Killed The Protesters
Not. Yes, the military killed hundreds (~500), but they were not
political protesters a la OWS. The dead were MB partisans: shock
troops, foot soldiers, paramilitary, or whatever label you wish to
give them. Certainly not innocent bystanders or American-style
protesters.
Factoid #4 – They Hate The US
Not exactly: they hate and distrust Obama and his foreign policy
minions. Why? Because he cheered rather than jeered when MB seized
power. They think (and it is hard to dispute the claim: witness a
statement by him that the military should hand back power to the
'democratically' elected 'civilian' government) that “BO” still
favors MB, whereas huge swaths of Egyptian society hate the MB in the
same way that AQ hates the US.
Factoid #5 – Hey It's A Coup d'Etat And We Should Cut Off
Foreign Aid!
Be careful what you wish for. Technically the statement is correct
(Congress passed such a law long ago). However, the $$$ we send
mainly goes to the military, not the civilian government. Cutting off
the aid would be further evidence that “BO” favors MB, further
alienating non-MB Egyptians. I would make a reference to the Dance of
Shiva, but most Americans have not read the Rig Veda.
Factoid #6 – Sinai: The Boil On Egypt's Hiney
During the 1973 Arab-Israeli War, Sadat crossed the Suez with the
First Armored Division, Egypt's only major armor force, not to
mention her pride and joy. Israel easily cut it off, isolating the
unit. Begin could easily have just bombed it into oblivion. However,
demonstrating his chivalry, he allowed Sadat to withdraw his tanks
back across the Suez unmolested. It was this act that finally
persuaded Sadat to sign the historic peace treaty with Israel (which
also transferred the Sinai back to Egypt), a peace that has thrived
up until the election of Mursi. Sinai is again front and center: with
the collapse of the civilian government, assorted and sundry
terrorist groups have set up housekeeping there. Therefore, any peace
solution will have to include this lawless area in the plan.
Factoid #7 – Aha! So You Think The Military Is Egypt's Savior?
Not even close. True, the military is the moderating force
preventing Egypt from descending into the bowels of sharia.
Conversely, economic development has never been a priority. The
military is simply another force in the Egyptian landscape looking
after its own. Like us, Egyptians are not concerned so much with
religious orthodoxy as with jobs and economic recovery. Adam Smith
and Milton Friedman are just as apropos to Egypt as to the US.
Factoid #8 – Aha...wait: say what?
To quote a previous HedFed:
...if I turn out to be particularly clear, you've probably
misunderstood what I've said.
Your head should be spinning with
many possibilities, forcing you to sit down for a few moments to
regain your balance. This is the truth about Egypt's current
problems. No other conclusion is possible. Perhaps you should read
the Rig Veda after all.
Correction
Well, my memory is clearly faulty. I skimmed the Rig Veda looking for the specific Hymn(s) that reference the Dance of Shiva, which I always understood to be a cosmic dance of destruction and renewal. Could not find one. That's cuz it is a Tamil concept called Nataraj, and has nothing to do with Rig Veda, which are hymns dedicated to Indra. Sorry 'bout that.
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