Thomas Who?
Thomas Robert Malthus was an English
cleric and was, among other disciplines, an economist whose career
spanned the early 19th century. His work, An
Essay on the Principles of Population, postulated that the
earth's resources were static, but that the growth of the human race
is dynamic. Therefore, he concluded that sooner or later we would all
die off from disease and starvation. This rather regrettable (and
totally wrong) theory has come up several times in history, and
proven wrong each and every time. Al Gore is merely the latest in a
long line wearing the Malthus cartoon head.
Sci-fi: Truth is Stranger Than Fiction
When I was a teenager (yes, folks,
there was such a time), I read 2 books. The
God Machine (Caidin, 1969), and Colossus
- The Forbin Project ( D. F. Jones, 1970). They both postulated
the existence of a super-human computer that threatens mankind (yes,
this was where the idea of the Terminator move series was cloned
from). This super-computer synthesized all the knowledge of mankind
and cured cancer (“Watson”, anyone?). Later in the book, the
computer becomes rebellious and (I paraphrase) refused to participate
in the rape of earth's natural resources (something about mining the
oceans' floor for minerals). The problem is, I am not sure which
novel contains this plot twist. Does this principle sound familiar to
anyone?
Eliot Janeway
This
dude was forever forecasting doom and gloom, so much so that he
acquired the nickname “Calamity Janeway”. The family will
collapse, agriculture will collapse, the US economy will collapse,
the world banking system will collapse (well, OK, he was kinda right
on this one, but not for the reason he postulated), the price of
copper and iron will be 10x that of gold. The problem here, is that
he calculated dates for these various catastrophes, and was 100%
wrong each and every time.
Club of Rome
In 1974, this think tank published The
Limits to Growth. It postulated that a human population could
grow indefinitely, and requires consummate unlimited economic growth.
This, they claimed, was impossible. Well, OK. However, they published
a series of books. By the time they got around to publishing their
last book, they almost repudiated their original predictions and
economic equations.
Malthus, The Next Generation
In 1992, Al Gore published Earth
in the Balance. He postulates that humans are fouling their nest.
Unless something is done now, the earth will cease to be able to
support the human race. By now, this political stance should be
annoyingly familiar.
Al Gore was not the first, nor will he
be the last, to raise aloft the ugly visage of Malthus as his
standard. I realize full well that fans thereof will not be converted
by my skepticism. I hope that, at least, I have educated you about
the genesis of this regrettable and totally wrong opinion.
No comments:
Post a Comment