Tuesday, July 8, 2014

Where in the World is the Chinese Navy? 9 Red Lines

First, I shall require you to do some homework. Go to Google Images, and search for “9 dashed line south china sea”. You will see an oceanic map. There are some coastal countries and a whole bunch of island countries. In the middle, there is a label: South China Sea, and a red circle encompassing most of it.

Maritime Law

Every country that has a coast has an economic zone of influence that extends out into the ocean. You are not suppose to gather economic resources from this zone without the permission of the owning country.
The question arises: what happens when there are islands with overlapping zones? Well there is all manner of negotiations and treaties and agreements.

China's 9 Red Lines

In the South China Sea, there are many overlapping zones. There is long and tiring history of negotiations, and a rather complex web of agreements that carefully divvy up this sea.
Along comes China, unilaterally claiming economic control of whole kit n' caboodle. This certainly seems like a strategic mistake. This action seems to have provoked a defensive league of the local nations who previously would have nothing to do with each other.

Why?

The answer is easy.
Oil.
You see, China is powered mostly by coal, and this has created a serious pollution problem. The South China Sea has humongous oil and natural gas reserves, and China covets it. The Chinese Politburo is in deep panic over the air pollution problem, and are desperate for alternatives, including natural gas and oil. This is also why they are heavily subsidizing solar cell manufacturers and building several dozen nuclear reactors.

An Old Saying


In the book All the President's Men, there is a bit of valuable wisdom: follow the money. In this case, I would say: follow the oil.  

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